physicsfactor
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NW and Baylor both suck. Francois just hurt his knee. Duke should be undefeated before losing at Wake in the final week.
StopThePumpFakesShav
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Francois out for the season. I've already booked my ticket to Atlanta for the CFP final.
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rhfarmer
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So, even with the hot start, I have a hard time seeing Duke with more than 7 wins.
@UNC is always a coin flip.
@VPI is a probable loss
Miami and FSU are likely losses
@Wake is probably a coin flip.
Baylor, @UVa, Pitt, @Army, GT are must wins.
If Duke catches a break @UNC, @Wake could give us 9 wins. If Duke really catches fire, this is the year to steal a win from one of Miami or FSU, since both are at home.
7-5 likely, with 9-3 reasonable. If Duke wins 10 or 11, probably means a new QB next year.
@UNC is always a coin flip.
@VPI is a probable loss
Miami and FSU are likely losses
@Wake is probably a coin flip.
Baylor, @UVa, Pitt, @Army, GT are must wins.
If Duke catches a break @UNC, @Wake could give us 9 wins. If Duke really catches fire, this is the year to steal a win from one of Miami or FSU, since both are at home.
7-5 likely, with 9-3 reasonable. If Duke wins 10 or 11, probably means a new QB next year.
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Duke rose to 33 on Sagarin, where they would be favored by 16 vs. Baylor and 8.5 vs. UNC. I think the lines will be smaller than that. Maybe 14, and then 3.5, depending on what happens this weekend.
StopThePumpFakesShav
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16 teams outside of the top 25 got 1 or more AP poll votes. Duke was not one of them. I kind of thought we would get one or two.
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I thought the UNC game was at Duke, so disregard anything I've said about that point spread. I'm guessing UNC by 1-2.
StopThePumpFakesShav
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Yeah, had we crushed Baylor and UNC won by an amount closer to their spread, I would've said Duke -1 or so. I think UNC -2 seems right.
StopThePumpFakesShav
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Well I'm seeing Duke as a 2.5 point favorite on VegasInsider. Surprising. But sometimes the opening lines are inaccurate on that site.
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It's -3 everywhere. Stunning line. I want to believe they know what they're doing, since they must understand how heavily UNC will be bet. They aren't going for even money on both sides with a line like this.
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Sagarin has Duke at 29. We return 14/22 starters next season. Cutcliffe is building a legit ACC title contender, one that can actually hang with Clemson or FSU in 2 years.
Get blown out at UNC with an injury to Jones, and this all ends.
Get blown out at UNC with an injury to Jones, and this all ends.
Devilsforlife
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Really hope we get to see a senior Jones in 2019. Win ACC and plum Bowl game (we get screwed out of the playoff because Duke football), and Cut rides off into the sunset.
I felt this post sounded overly Axe-ish, so I added in getting shafted from the playoff to make it somewhat more conceivable.
tate12
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That is spot on for me. Wake is going to be a tough one that can go either way. I am a little worried that Army is going to be much tougher than we would hope for also.
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Duke is #27 in both polls. Somehow still behind 0-2 FSU in the coaches' poll. Worse than a team that has literally not won a game this season and just had a mediocre opponent at home.