I also found this on CNO discord about the NHL variety: "yeah my guess is its going to be a dog. But could use an SGP that has race to 2 and moneylines, do the 4way to see the likelihood of a team going up 2 and still losing, use that liklihood, multiply by FBC, and thats your value for ;n=0.XXx"@Grit This is a good writeup:
He puts it at about +36% EV if you follow the strategy of road team underdogs with high totals and that aren’t way out of line with market price.
Personally not bothering with that but figured I'd share if anyone else is interested.
Edit to add: that would arguably be an underestimate? not sure but too complicated for me, may as well just learn something valuable to society than spend time on this.
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