Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Talk about anything related to Duke Football here!

Cash.

Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby StopThePumpFakesShav » Mon Aug 10, 2015 7:44 pm

I think we should have this thread.

Duke opened as a 13.5 point favorite for its road game with Tulane, but the line has moved down to -9.5 at the moment. This game is Thurs 9/3 at 9:30pm BTW.
User avatar
StopThePumpFakesShav
All American
 
Posts: 3238
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Tue Aug 11, 2015 10:59 am

Schedule

Duke Sagarin Predictor rating at 2015 end: 75.98

Thursday, September 3
at Tulane (Sagarin Predictor rating at 2015 end: 54.08)
9:30pm ET CBSSN

Saturday, September 12
NC Central (41.89)
6:00pm ET ESPN3

Saturday, September 19
Northwestern (70.02)
12:30pm ET
ACCN/ESPN3

Saturday, September 26
Georgia Tech (87.33)
TBA

Saturday, October 3
Boston College (75.45)
TBA

Saturday, October 10
at Army (51.29)
12:00pm ET CBSSN

Saturday, October 17
no game

Saturday, October 24
at Virginia Tech (76.62)
TBA

Saturday, October 31
Miami (76.92)
TBA

Saturday, November 7
at North Carolina (67.53)
TBA

Saturday, November 14
Pittsburgh (74.02)
TBA

Saturday, November 21
at Virginia (74.31)
TBA

Saturday, November 28
at Wake Forest (57.40)
TBA

Saturday, December 5
ACC Championship Game - Charlotte, NC
TBA
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Tue Aug 11, 2015 11:18 am

I don't know anything about these teams. I don't know which players are returning, how good the quarterbacks are, who the coaches are, etc., but based on Sagarin to end last season and based on Sirk being better this season than Boone was last season, I would put Duke's chances of winning these games into these categories:

Heavy Underdogs against
Georgia Tech

Underdogs against
at Virginia Tech

Toss Up
Miami
at North Carolina
at Virginia

Favorites against
Boston College
Pittsburgh

Heavy Favorites against
at Tulane
NC Central
Northwestern
at Army
at Wake Forest

Splitting at Georgia Tech and at Virginia Tech would be good and not completely unrealistic. Going 2-3 in the toss up/underdog games is probably the expected result. Going 6-1 in the favorite games seems realistic, but 5-2 is probably the expected result.

This would put Duke at an expected 7-5, but with a reasonable shot at 9-3. I think 6-6 is the floor.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby dukeberto » Tue Aug 11, 2015 1:01 pm

I blame Shav starting this thread for the string of injuries that just decimated our RB corps.
The only Duke message boards worth visiting
User avatar
dukeberto
All American
 
Posts: 1083
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 12:33 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Mon Aug 17, 2015 1:59 pm

Looking at Coastal schedules to see if Duke has any chance of going to the ACC title game...

Not too relevant, but Georgia Tech plays at Notre Dame the week before Georgia Tech plays at Duke, so that might help Duke with intangibles. Also, no Coastal opponent has a bye week before playing Duke.

GT has at Clemson, vs FSU and at Miami as potentially difficult ACC games.

Miami has at FSU, vs Clemson, GT and at Pitt.

Everyone else in the Coastal avoids both Clemson and FSU.

6-2 should win the Coastal outright, and 5-3 should get Duke into a tie-breaker. That seems plausible. Whether we prefer to get smoked in the ACC title game over not playing a game that week is another question.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby physicsfactor » Tue Sep 01, 2015 10:46 am

Is anyone else scared by how tiny our front 7 (including Cash) is this year? I've never paid attention to previous seasons, so maybe Duke has always been this small. But man, we are tiny up front. 235, 270, 290, 244, 210, 215, 210. I'm afraid Tulane's offensive line is going to push us around even worse than last year.
User avatar
physicsfactor
Legend
 
Posts: 7014
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby StopThePumpFakesShav » Tue Sep 01, 2015 9:22 pm

Yeah, I feel like we're in for a step back this season, that being one of the reasons. The other two being (i) loss of one great and one very good offensive linemen and (ii) no elite WR.

(ii) offset slightly by return of very good TE.

Loss of our starting qb not even a concern.
User avatar
StopThePumpFakesShav
All American
 
Posts: 3238
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby Topher » Tue Sep 01, 2015 10:05 pm

Cut's molding the defense after TCU's. Basically a modified 4-2-5 that's really a 2-2-7.
"I'll do what I can to help y'all. But, the game's out there, and it's play or get played. That simple." -- Tyler Thornton
User avatar
Topher
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 4268
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 8:59 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Wed Sep 02, 2015 8:44 am

The Tulane line is down to 7.5 points everywhere. We are still Duke.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby dukeberto » Wed Sep 02, 2015 12:03 pm

Former Duke TE Garrett Utt posted a $1000 bet on Duke -7.5 on Facebook for the world to see. Let's hope he doesn't regret that come Friday 1AM
The only Duke message boards worth visiting
User avatar
dukeberto
All American
 
Posts: 1083
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 12:33 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Wed Sep 02, 2015 4:30 pm

Line down to 7 points. Has moved 6.5 points since opening. That's about the same as going from a bad NFL starter to Anthony Boone. Some Duke players must have died.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby StopThePumpFakesShav » Thu Sep 03, 2015 12:54 am

I am a little nervous about this line movement. I think, as Physics said, our front 7 could really struggle.
User avatar
StopThePumpFakesShav
All American
 
Posts: 3238
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby dukeberto » Thu Sep 03, 2015 10:15 am

well if it falls to -6 I'll feel pretty good. Apparently our record ATS at +6 to -6 is unbelievable. I believe the only game we haven't covered when the spread was in that range was against VaTech last year, and that was a fluky *** game.
The only Duke message boards worth visiting
User avatar
dukeberto
All American
 
Posts: 1083
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 12:33 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby physicsfactor » Fri Sep 04, 2015 8:26 pm

I feel pretty stupid for being concerned about the Tulane game. The defense played much better than I thought they would.
User avatar
physicsfactor
Legend
 
Posts: 7014
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby StopThePumpFakesShav » Fri Sep 04, 2015 10:04 pm

Yeah, same. But it's going to take me 5 years from our first decent team (2012) to get used to us being good.
User avatar
StopThePumpFakesShav
All American
 
Posts: 3238
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby aiw » Sat Sep 05, 2015 8:45 pm

NCCU winning 72-0
User avatar
aiw
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 16912
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 8:48 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby DrKlahn » Sat Sep 05, 2015 10:10 pm

Who are they playing? I'd like to play that team.
User avatar
DrKlahn
All American
 
Posts: 4011
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2012 8:20 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Tue Sep 08, 2015 1:14 pm

Duke moved up to #35 on Sagarin Predictor after the first week of the season was accounted for. That's two spots ahead of Northwestern. Sagarin would make Duke 44-point favorites against NC Central. Sagarin would make Duke 3-point favorites against Northwestern and 3-point underdogs against Georgia Tech.

ACC rankings on Sagarin:

12 Florida State
15 Clemson
18 Georgia Tech
29 Miami
32 Louisville
35 Duke
44 Virginia Tech
47 North Carolina
49 NC State
54 Pittsburgh
56 Boston College
58 Syracuse
66 Virginia
82 Wake Forest
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Thu Sep 10, 2015 8:28 pm

Duke are 41-point favorites vs. NC Central.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Sat Sep 12, 2015 9:21 pm

NC Central spread got down to 32 by kickoff. People still hate Duke. Should be favored by a decent amount over Northwestern.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby CK86 » Sun Sep 13, 2015 12:39 am

It's fun having a good football team. Kicked the **** out of NCCU and got some backups some playing time too. Good times.
User avatar
CK86
All American
 
Posts: 3860
Joined: Tue Oct 09, 2012 12:02 am
Location: Lincoln, NE

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby physicsfactor » Sun Sep 13, 2015 1:08 am

I'm just anxious to see Sirk in action vs real competition next week.
User avatar
physicsfactor
Legend
 
Posts: 7014
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby Inveigle » Sun Sep 13, 2015 11:14 pm

Blue Devils are a 1-point favorite against #23 Northwestern.

http://duke.247sports.com/Bolt/Duke-ope ... n-39416174
User avatar
Inveigle
Role Player
 
Posts: 114
Joined: Mon Jan 20, 2014 9:20 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby Inveigle » Mon Sep 14, 2015 1:10 pm

Now it's up to -3 spread. The mystique of Thomas Sirk is growing. :D
User avatar
Inveigle
Role Player
 
Posts: 114
Joined: Mon Jan 20, 2014 9:20 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby rhfarmer » Mon Sep 14, 2015 8:06 pm

The Nerd Bowl
User avatar
rhfarmer
Legend
 
Posts: 6166
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:06 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Tue Sep 15, 2015 12:01 pm

User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby StopThePumpFakesShav » Tue Sep 15, 2015 10:29 pm

Didn't realize he was hurt. They say he might try and return late this year- we don't play them until November 14.
User avatar
StopThePumpFakesShav
All American
 
Posts: 3238
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby aiw » Tue Sep 15, 2015 10:37 pm

Take off the year and turn pro.
User avatar
aiw
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 16912
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 8:48 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Fri Sep 18, 2015 5:37 pm

Duke goes into Saturday as 3.5-point favorites over a ranked team. Game.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby StopThePumpFakesShav » Fri Sep 18, 2015 7:27 pm

Wonder if the line will move drastically against Duke hours before kick like it did the last two games.
User avatar
StopThePumpFakesShav
All American
 
Posts: 3238
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Sat Sep 19, 2015 12:00 am

Spread is up to 4 points everywhere as we hit actual Saturday. People love Sirk.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby Topher » Sat Sep 19, 2015 8:20 am

If you guys want to talk about Duke football, I encourage y'all to go over to BDL today. I know we don't do much here but it's a decent crowd over there.
"I'll do what I can to help y'all. But, the game's out there, and it's play or get played. That simple." -- Tyler Thornton
User avatar
Topher
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 4268
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 8:59 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby dukeberto » Sat Sep 19, 2015 9:49 am

There's nothing that I love more than a football Saturday in the south. Beers, good food, and sundresses all around. IT'S **** GAMEDAY!

Let's go Duke! Beat the cats!
The only Duke message boards worth visiting
User avatar
dukeberto
All American
 
Posts: 1083
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 12:33 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby physicsfactor » Sat Sep 19, 2015 10:30 am

It's weird that Duke has been good enough the last couple of years that I'm nervous on game days. I used to go into every football Saturday not really invested but wondering how badly Duke would lose.
User avatar
physicsfactor
Legend
 
Posts: 7014
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby SeanMayTriedToEatMe » Sat Sep 19, 2015 11:31 am

Duke by at least 4.5 everywhere, 5 at some places. Getting pretty close to what the Tulane line was at kickoff. Tulane, one or the worst teams in FBS, at home, is almost as good as a ranked team on the road. Parity.
User avatar
SeanMayTriedToEatMe
Legend
 
Posts: 18564
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 9:49 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby physicsfactor » Sat Sep 19, 2015 3:50 pm

Guess I can be done with taking college football seriously this season. Does Duke have a QB coming in next season?
User avatar
physicsfactor
Legend
 
Posts: 7014
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby Topher » Sat Sep 19, 2015 5:43 pm

That was **** torture.
"I'll do what I can to help y'all. But, the game's out there, and it's play or get played. That simple." -- Tyler Thornton
User avatar
Topher
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 4268
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 8:59 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby StopThePumpFakesShav » Sat Sep 19, 2015 6:17 pm

It was cool when Duke won the national championship in basketball this year.
User avatar
StopThePumpFakesShav
All American
 
Posts: 3238
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby Rollins » Mon Sep 21, 2015 12:45 pm

physicsfactor wrote:Guess I can be done with taking college football seriously this season. Does Duke have a QB coming in next season?



pray that daniel jones is good enough to beat out Sirk (or that Sirk pulls the rabbit out of his ***).

Jones is going to be 'the guy'
User avatar
Rollins
All American
 
Posts: 2141
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2012 2:04 pm

Re: Duke Football 2015-2016 Discussion

Postby Topher » Mon Sep 21, 2015 10:53 pm

Sirk will be fine.
"I'll do what I can to help y'all. But, the game's out there, and it's play or get played. That simple." -- Tyler Thornton
User avatar
Topher
Moderator
Moderator
 
Posts: 4268
Joined: Sun Oct 07, 2012 8:59 pm

Next

Return to Duke Football

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest