Lunardi will do this better in his own bracket now that the regular season is done, but this is how I think the selection committee will see it (Kenpom rankings listed but probably not given much weight):
#1 Indiana (26-5, #8 RPI, 1st Big Ten, #2 Kenpom)
#2 Duke (27-4, #1 RPI, 2nd ACC, Ryan Kelly Exception, #5 Kenpom)
#3 Gonzaga (29-2, #10 RPI, 1st WCC, #4 Kenpom)
#4 Louisville (26-5, #3 RPI, 1st Big East, #3 Kenpom)
#5 Kansas (26-5, #7 RPI, 1st Big 12, #9 Kenpom)
#6 Georgetown (24-5, #9 RPI, 1st Big East, #13 Kenpom)
#7 Miami (24-6, #4 RPI, 1st ACC, #14 Kenpom)
#8 Florida (24-6, #6 RPI, 1st SEC, #1 Kenpom)
#9 New Mexico (26-5, #2 RPI, 1st Mountain West, #26 Kenpom)
#10 Michigan State (23-7, #5 RPI, 2nd Big Ten, #7 Kenpom)
#11 Marquette (23-7 final, #11 RPI, 1st Big East, #25 Kenpom)
#12 Michigan (24-6, #13 RPI, 4th Big Ten, #11 Kenpom)